Although the title pretty much says all you need to know about this chase, here is an analysis anyway. I am not usually the one that writes here, but since I have the pictures and video, I will write it up. Tony will probably have to correct me on what I think happened.

On this day, there was a warm-front setup with a substantial amount of sheer. Although SPC wasn’t giving it much attention, Tony was predicting possible isolated supercells with tornadoes. As we got closer to the potential event, the SPC gave in a few hints that something was possible.

…NRN MO/SE IA/IL/SRN WI TODAY…

INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED CLOSER TO THE
SURFACE LOW TRACK…AS A RESULT OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION IN NE
OK/SE KS/SW MO…AND THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED DRIER LOW-LEVEL AIR
MASS FROM ERN AR/MO EWD. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS WILL TEND TO LIMIT
SURFACE HEATING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA…WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS SHOULD RANGE FROM 58-62 F. STILL…VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE
STRONG AND SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IF THE SURFACE CAN
WARM A LITTLE MORE THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED NEAR THE WARM FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON.

Tony was predicting warmer temperatures than SPC predicted which would set us up for a successful chase. Unfortunately, it never cleared up, and the temperatures stayed at or below the forecast high. Furthermore, a large batch of precip to our south was cutting off the moisture supply. The map and storm reports showed that nothing happened in our area. Although we wern’t able to witness or document any severe weather, at least the people in that area were safe from it this time.

So what do you do when you drive 100 miles to Peru, IL only to find out that nothing is going to happen? Well, you take pictures of anything possible! And don’t hold me accountable for Tony’s state of mind on the way home from a bust, but why not share what I listened to all the way home? For your enjoyment: 100_7959